Ruthless power

Wednesday, December 23, 2020

To the editor,

Welcome to the nearly New Year!

We hopefully and prayerfully celebrate the New Year while we await vaccinations. Our county and country may return to “normal” by late 2021 if all goes well. However, here are two 2021-2022 tipping points to consider.

(1) Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Virus: Phase 1. Most likely, the Corona virus came from the CCP Wuhan Institute of Virology Lab. Most likely, the virus was “accidentally” released as a test to see how quickly it would infect the world and how quickly a vaccine would be discovered and administered. The CCP has next-to-nothing morality for human life. Recently the CCP has destroyed again lives of Chinese citizens, ranging from placing thousands of Muslim Uighurs in concentration camps to jailing democratic protestors in Hong Kong. The Chinese Communist Party is ruthless! Most likely, the CCP has a Phase 2 virus that is more deadly than its Phase 1 virus, which it will “accidentally” release in 2022.

(2) Lab-Generated Meat Proteins: Death of Beaverhead Ranching. Rethink X, a technological-economic forecasting firm, issued a 2020 report on the future of meat production, whether grass-fed or feedlot-fed. At RethinkX.com, the report states: “The cost of modern foods and other precision fermentation products will be at least 50% and as much as 80% lower than the animal products they replace, which will translate into substantially lower prices and increased disposable incomes. At current prices, revenues of the U.S. beef and dairy industry and their suppliers, which together exceed $400bn [billion] today, will decline by at least 50% by 2030, and by nearly 90% by 2035. All other livestock and commercial fisheries will follow a similar trajectory. The volume of crops needed to feed cattle in the U.S. will fall by 50%, from 155 million tons in 2018 to 80 million tons in 2030. This means that, at current prices, feed production revenues for cattle will fall by more than 50%, from $60bn in 2018 to less than $30bn in 2030.”

If Rethink X’s analysis is even remotely accurate, we will see a price collapse of the Beaverhead ranching industry, from cattle, sheep, and hogs inventories to agricultural lands. For ranchers thinking they can save their livelihoods by becoming commodity farmers who provide inputs to plant-based burgers, those options will not be profitable, given the rise of urban vertical farming (This 2-Acre Vertical Farm Out-Produces 720 Acre ‘Flat Farms’ (forbes.com)).

Randy Piper

Dillon

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